Tonight's TV3-TNS polls makes it look this election will be much closer then many have expected. National remain the party with the largest minority support, but the overall picture appears to confirm a recent trend seeing the centre-left regaining ground as a group.
If the election outcome looked like this, it would be too close to call and any of a number of parties could swing it one way or another. Granted, the Greens have said they prefer Labour and I have no doubt they do. The Maori Party could - conceivably - go either way, but I'm fairly certain that if they actually had a choice, they would go with Labour, though only after they had extracted some serious policy initiatives for Maori.
Here are today's numbers:
Daily review 15/09/2025
4 hours ago
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