Showing posts with label Auckland Airport. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Auckland Airport. Show all posts

Sunday, April 13, 2008

Foriegn Investment: Some good / Some bad

In the wake of the government's decision last week to not allow the sale of 40% of Auckland Airport to a foreign buyer, I've been reflecting on the topic a wee bit. Plus, it rained today and there was nothing on TV. What do I care? I don't watch TV anyway.

What prompted my thoughts was the Canadian government deciding this week to block the sale of a high-tech satellite / robotics company to a US buyer.

Canada (where I grew up) began enjoying the "benefits" of foreign investment decades prior to the rage for it seriously took hold in New Zealand political circles. The inverted comments around "benefits" should indicate that this experience has not always been a good one and that foreign investment is far from problem free.

In the NZ Herald last year, investment analyst Brian Gaynor looked at the serious problems that poor foreign investment has caused in New Zealand in recent years. Air New Zealand, NZ Rail, Telecom and more are cited.

Judging by the comments of many business and political commentators in New Zealand, there appears to be inadequate awareness of the potential downsides of foreign investment. At the very least, they are reluctant to acknowledge there are any downsides.

Is all foreign investment good? No.
Is all foreign investment bad? No.

Absolutely and without question any investor, domestic or foreign, who can invest capital in new businesses or industries to generate wealth and value and/or employment and/or a skills base for enabling other economic endeavour is to be encouraged and perhaps even supported in doing so. No country can have too many good citizens - individual or corporate.

But the picture isn't all rosey. In the Canadian experience, foreign investment often meant that a company, or an industry as a whole, was converted into a "branch plant" of a foreign owner. The economies of scale thus achieved often meant that domestic Canadian competitors became uncompetitive and were then either bought up and closed down or they simply shut up shop. Later, when the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was introduced, and tariffs on imports were reduced or removed, these branch plants were often allowed to run down and declared too expensive to re-invest in. The activity that had taken place there ceased. The skills base associated with these industries rapidly dissipates and in the end no one knows how to do that thing any more. This is one of the main reasons the Canadian government gave for blocking the sale of MDA this week.

Where the investment was in purchasing existing companies rather than building new ones, the effect was often ultimately hostile to the creation of wealth in Canada. Instead, it actually degraded and finally destroyed what wealth had been there by removing domestic competitors from the scene, then closing down local branches entirely. No longer even a branch plant economy, you import all of whatever it was that used to be made here and employed people here.

We can see this today as we wander the aisles of our local supermarkets. Basic, everyday products that used to be made here, from deodorants to tomato sauce, are now imported. Businesses that employed large numbers of unskilled or low-skilled people are now gone or greatly reduced and always under threat of being closd entirely.

The assumption seems to be that "resources will be shifted to new industries" as one letter writer to the North Shore Times asserted this week (objecting to the blocking of the airport sale). But that doesn't make any sense to a 45 years old woman who may have spent the last 20 or more years making carpets at Feltex in Foxton. Who is going to fund her retraining and re-allocation to a new knowledge industry - even assuming she was up to it? She can't. She's out of work. Wages were low anyway. Maybe she didn't even finish secondary school. Textiles have been part of the Foxton economy for most of 150 years thanks initially to the abundant supply of flax in the area. Now it's all gone. Soon the skills will be gone as well.

Canada had also found that its sovereignty can be directly undermined by foreign investment. At one point in the early 1970's more than 99% of the booming Canadian petroleum industry was foreign-owned. The Canadian arm of US companies have shown themselves unwilling to follow Canadian laws when they conflicted with US laws. In particular, they often refused to deal with countries the US had embargoed, but Canada had not.

Famously, in the early 1970s, the Trudeau government in Ottawa had to threaten to order a US-owned Canadian locomotive manufacturer to ship locos to US-embargoed Cuba. The US parent risked being prosecuted by the government there and was in a no-win situation. The US government relented in 1975. Similarly, the Canadian arm of IBM found itself under constant pressure to follow US law.

Canadians went through all this years before New Zealand started down this road. I came to New Zealand in the early 1980s knowing a great deal more, from personal experience, about the downside of foreign investment than even the most senior politicians here seemed aware of. I recall being amazed that they were so uncritical of virtually all foreign investment. People who knew better did try to warn them, but listening wasn't a talent demonstrated by most Kiwi governments elected under the old First Past the Post voting system. Being deaf was supposed to mean you were strong instead of being determinedly deaf and blind or worse - stupid.

The government here (and the government in Canada) has been criticised for playing politics with foreign investment. That could only be possible if large numbers of voters understood foreign investment to not always be a good thing while their political masters most often like to pretend otherwise. In Canada that's a given. In 1970 the "Committee for an Independent Canada" (CIC) was founded to publicise the damaging side of foreign investment. At age 13, already curious, I attended their founding national conference in Thunder Bay, where I happened to live. The CIC later morphed into the "Council of Canadians".

In New Zealand, more and more people seem to be coming to the conclusion that being prudent about what you sell to people who don't live here is prudent and careful economic management and not "xenophobia" as some have attempted to label it.

Not all foreign investment is bad. We should insist our governments at least attempt to tell the good from the bad and reject the latter and thank them for doing so. The Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board clearly thought they would make a lot of money out of Auckland Airport's monopoly to aid in funding the pensions of Canadians. Maybe now Kiwi pensioners will get a look into extracting the monopoly rents the Canadians were seeking through the fund administered by our own government?

Friday, April 11, 2008

Friday Morning Musings

New Auckland Public Transport discussion forums!

In the wake of MAXX dumping the discussion forum they used to host on the MAXX website, Cam Pitches of the Campaign for Better Public Transport tells me they now have an alternative discussion forum up and running on their site.

Go for it people.

MAXX has previously said they would link to this new forum, so I hope we will soon see this link prominently visible on the MAXX site.

"Media 7"

This morning I took some time out early and watched the second edition of TVNZ 7's "Media 7" programme, ably hosted by long time media scrutineer, Russell Brown. I won't go into detail on the content other than to say Brown and his panel offered up an interesting, amusing and informative assessment of the media coverage of recent economic and financial events. Simon Pound looked at how Michelle Boag and Merv Bennett's "Waiheke Week" has stirred things up on the island. I very much enjoyed the show start to finish and recommend it to anyone interested in media in New Zealand. There wasn't a boring minute to be found.

"Media 7" has a YouTube Channel. Each edition has been broken up into pieces less than 10 minutes long. Here's the property segment from the second edition:



Auckland Airport

The government has blocked the sale of a major share of Auckland Airport to the Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB). I'm sure shareholders who supported the sale won't be happy with that. I have to confess that I'm happy with the government's decision. The recent debacle surrounding the opening of Heathrow's new Terminal 5 and the previous announcement, by the Spanish-owned airport authority, of huge hikes in airport fees for travelers and carriers suggest the government's caution may be well founded. Although the deal as finally composed may have prevented the CPPIB of having control for now, there is no guarantee that some future government would not have changed that. Previous experience of foreign ownership in airlines, electrical utilities and rail is more than enough reason to be very cautious about Auckland Airport.

UPDATE:
Bernard Hickey of interest.co.nz argues against blocking the sale of a 40% share in the airport to CPPIB on the grounds that it will negatively impact interest rates.



I think investors in most countries will have no issues with the government preserving local control of important infrastructure. American investors will be very familiar with such a concept and the reasons for it. Non-Americans aren't allowed to own television networks, for example. Also consider the uproar if military contractors attempt to use foreign sourced components in their weaponry, as General Dynamics recently announced, sourcing components from part of the European Airbus consortium. They would never consider actually selling off control of such a company. In my view, interest rate concerns a few points one way or the other don't trump strategic long term interests or sovereignty. Those are the rules followed in the countries we trade with. None of them that I know of have open slather on strategic assets. We are already more liberal than most. Few would tolerate almost all of their print media being foreign owned as is the case today in New Zealand.

Monday, March 17, 2008

Spitting the Dumby

I was wading through the newspaper (NZ Herald) the other day and growing increasingly grumpy with what I was reading. This has been happening to me for a while now. Maybe years. Yes, definitely years.

I see story after story that leave me wondering "What's REALLY going on?"

What's bothering me is the overt and strongly presented opinions of the editors and reporters with little or nothing to provide what I think of as "balance" (acknowledgement and recording of diverse views) that might lead me to something approximating a whole picture and thereby 'the truth'.

I've been around a while. I guess I've finally spat the dummy over what seems to me to be the blatant propagandising of many New Zealand media outlets - Left or Right. The print media, in particular, who now also happen to be almost entirely foreign owned, which ties in nicely with the example below.

Let's look at the fuss over the Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board take over bid for a chunk of Auckland Airport. There are views on both sides as to whether or not it is a good thing, and I had hoped to get some idea what the underlying values behind each view might be and marry that up with some facts, so I turned to the newspaper.

Weekend Herald, 2008-03-15, page C6, "Lack of Harmony on Canadian Deal", subtitled "Why veto the Auckland Airport sale for populist and xenophobic reasons?" The author is Herald business editor, Liam Dann.

With a heading like that, right away the needle on my "truth-o-meter" began twitching. What ultimate authority is it Mr. Dann has access to that determined the government was absolutely without question acting on motives that are only "populist and xenophobic"? In context, I readily can understand how a writer for a foreign-owned newspaper like the NZ Herald might find it difficult to take a doubtful stance on the benefits of foreign ownership. It would be a brave thing to do.

It's obvious enough to me why New Zealand's primary and only (major) international air transport hub should be operated in a way that is guaranteed (rather than accidentally or temporarily) to maximise the chances of best serving the interests of New Zealand. The world is full of examples of what can happen when a country does not ensure that transactions are in its wider interest. "Fiji Water" anyone?

The language used throughout is rich with Mr. Dann's barely concealed contempt for the current government and the major players in it. I get the message loud and clear. My truth-o-meter doesn't like pejorative terms much as they tend to obscure the truth rather than reveal it.

After several times asserting the primacy of property rights over the national interest, Liam Dann ends his piece by asserting (by implication) that people who oppose the foreign control of Auckland Airport are "stupid" and see assets sales as "black or white" because the "centrist voters" he claims to know the mind of would not be these things.

Even as opinion goes, that doesn't sound like the truth to me. Far from it. That's exactly the sort of thing that made me spit the dummy.